cryptocurrency i- Top Knowledge

Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.The concept of memory chip fluctuated and strengthened. The daily limit of Purran shares was 20CM, and Zhaoyi Innovation approached the daily limit. Hengshuo shares, Netac Technology, Juchen shares and Weiwei Storage all rose by more than 5%.Joy City's daily limit The fourth Joy City in Beijing is about to open, and Joy City (000031.SZ) has raised its daily limit to a new high price in 4 yuan for 15 months, with a total market value of 17.1 billion yuan. According to the news, Haidian Joy City, the fourth Joy City in Beijing, will open on December 21st. At present, the second installation of many brands has come to an end, and the merchants in the venue have entered intensive preparations for opening.

A new round of "account opening war" has come. Some banks have already arranged specific marketing tasks at the grassroots level on the day when the notice was issued. On December 12, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other five departments jointly issued the "Notice on the Full Implementation of the Individual Pension System", which pointed out the key direction for the next development of relevant financial institutions. "The Bank has arranged a business-side meeting to deploy the work after the full implementation of the personal pension business." The relevant person in charge of the retail line of the head office of a stock bank told the reporter. It is also known that some banks have already arranged specific marketing tasks at the grassroots level on the day when the Notice was issued. When the personal pension system is fully rolled out, banks, insurance and other financial institutions with exhibition industry qualifications are actively preparing for the upgrading and optimization of personal pension business. A new round of "staking the land" for banks in account opening, deposit and agency sales is about to start, and the product reserves of various financial institutions will also reach a new level. (CSI Taurus)Zhongke Chuangda: Cooperation with Bean Bag will promote the transformation and application of the scientific research results of the big model on the vehicle side and intelligent hardware side with Volcano Engine. Zhongke Chuangda said on the interactive platform on December 13th that it has cooperation with Bean Bag. The company reached an in-depth cooperation with Volcano Engine to build a joint laboratory to empower end-to-end intelligence. The two sides will give full play to the advantages of core technologies, products and markets in their respective fields, and work together to promote the transformation and application of scientific research results of large models on the vehicle side and intelligent hardware side, empowering industrial innovation and development.The cryptocurrency market fluctuated violently again, exceeding 110,000 people. In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency headed by Bitcoin jumped up and down. After Trump said "something great will be done in the cryptocurrency field", the price of Bitcoin once rose to about $102,500, and then profit-making funds poured out. Bitcoin plunged over $3,000, and the lowest dropped to around $99,200. Other smaller cryptocurrency varieties followed suit. Coinglass data shows that within 24 hours, the number of people in the cryptocurrency market has exceeded 110,000. At present, there are great differences in the market on cryptocurrency. Some optimists predict that Bitcoin may reach $150,000 in mid-2025. At the NEXT meeting in Reuters this week, American bankers expressed their caution about cryptocurrencies. BlackRock, a world-renowned asset management company, suggested in a report on Thursday that interested investors could consider allocating 2% of their portfolio to Bitcoin. However, the report also warned: "Investors should also be alert to the risks of Bitcoin, which may not be widely adopted in the end, and it is still very unstable and vulnerable to sharp selling." In addition, Turkish regulators said they would block access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges. (Broker China)

IDC: The recovery of China's financial cloud market in the first half of 2024 was less than expected. According to the latest report "Tracking China's financial cloud market in the first half of 2024" released by IDC, the scale of China's financial cloud market in the first half of 2024 reached US$ 4.40 billion, up 7.3% year-on-year, and it was RMB 31.67 billion, up 11.5% year-on-year, achieving double-digit growth, but the growth rate was high. In the financial cloud sub-market, the cloud infrastructure market has picked up from the previous month, but the situation of financial institutions reducing costs and increasing efficiency has continued, and the overall development speed of the cloud solution market has further slowed down. From the overall situation of the financial cloud market in 2024, the financial cloud market in China is in a period of adjustment, and the development trend of each sub-market continues to differentiate.Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Dalian Shengya had a daily limit in the afternoon, and its share price hit a record high. Since November, its cumulative increase has exceeded 150%.